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Financial firms may be quick to offer the disclaimer that past performance is no indicator of future performance. In the fundraising world, the opposite is true: Past performance strongly correlates with future performance.
Based on a back testing of $5 billion in known giving to 400 nonprofit organizations, the five factors that most accurately predict future giving are, in order of predictive strength:
- Previous giving to your organization
- Previous giving to other organizations
- Participation as a foundation trustee or director
- Federal political giving
- Real estate valued at $2+ million
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